NVIDIA CORP

NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Bullish Semiconductors 4613.58B USA
Next Earnings
2026-05-26

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NVIDIA delivered record quarterly revenue with strong data center growth, announced Rubin/Vera Rubin progress, and reiterated solid full-year demand and capital return plans amid broader AI compute growth.

Key Highlights

Record Q4 data center revenue
Q4 data center revenue reached $62B, up 75% YoY and 22% sequentially, driven by Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra ramp.
Strong full-year data center growth
Full-year data center revenue totaled $194B, up 68% YoY, with significant contribution from networking and Vera Rubin roadmap.
Rubin and Vera Rubin rollout plans
Rubin platform announced with 6 new chips; first Vera Rubin samples shipped, production shipments expected in H2 FY27.
Inflation of AI compute infra ecosystem
Commitment to expanding AI ecosystem with OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta partnerships, and Grok licensing to extend CUDA-based architecture.
Guidance and capital return stance
Q1 revenue guide of $78B +/- 2%; gross margins ~75%; stock-based comp included in non-GAAP; continued capital return with buybacks and dividends.

Positive Signals

  • Record quarterly revenue and free cash flow driven by data center strength
  • Rubin platform progress and first Vera Rubin samples shipped with production planned in H2 FY27
  • Expansion of AI ecosystem partnerships (OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Grok) and GPU-centric software leadership (CUDA/TensorRT)
  • Sustained demand for networking (NVLink, Spectrum-X) contributing to robust data center mix
  • Capital return policy maintained with substantial buybacks and dividends

Negative Signals

  • Near-term supply constraints expected to persist for advanced architectures
  • Limited China data center compute in outlook; potential geopolitical/import uncertainties
  • Gaming segment expected to face headwinds from supply constraints and memory dynamics
  • Uncertainty around timing and ramp of Vera Rubin hardware in customer data centers
  • Macro and CapEx cycles of hyperscalers remain a risk to growth pacing

📊Financial Results

  • Q4 total revenue $68B, up 73% YoY; sequential growth record
  • Q4 data center revenue $62B, up 75% YoY and 22% QoQ; driven by Blackwell/Blackwell Ultra
  • Full-year data center revenue $194B, up 68% YoY; data center growth 13x since ChatGPT era
  • GAAP/Non-GAAP gross margins ~75% for Q4; gross margins sequentially higher with Blackwell ramp
  • Free cash flow Q4 $35B; FY2026 $97B; capital returns $41B (43% of free cash flow)

🔮Future Guidance

  • Q1 revenue guidance $78B ± 2%, with growth predominantly from data center; no China data center compute assumed in outlook
  • GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins expected ~74.9% and ~75.0%, within ±50 bps
  • Full-year gross margins expected to remain in the mid-70s
  • GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses expected to be ~$7.7B and ~$7.5B for Q1, including $1.9B stock-based compensation
  • Full-year operating expenses growth in the low 40s% year-over-year; tax rates guidance 7–19% (excluding discrete items)

💡Interesting Insights

  • Jensen Huang emphasized that 'compute equals revenues' in the agentic AI era, framing token generation as the core driver of future enterprise and cloud-scale revenue growth

Detailed Analysis

AI-generated summary of NVIDIA CORP earnings call transcript.

NVIDIA reported a fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 with record revenue, operating income, and free cash flow, highlighted by $68B total revenue, 73% YoY growth, and $62B of data center revenue (up 75% YoY). The year saw data center revenue reach $194B, underpinned by sustained demand for Blackwell-based systems, NVLink/ Spectrum-X networking, and a broad customer base beyond hyperscalers. The company introduced Rubin and Vera Rubin platforms, shipped Vera Rubin samples, and projected production in H2 FY27, with plans to expand across cloud and edge deployments. NVIDIA emphasized the critical role of AI inference and agentic AI in driving token generation and revenue, reinforced by partnerships with OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, and Grok, and stressed its strategy of extreme co-design across hardware and software for continued margin expansion. The company guided Q1 revenue of $78B ± 2%, gross margins around 75%, and ongoing capital returns, while acknowledging supply tightness for advanced architectures and non-China data center compute assumptions in outlook.

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