ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS INC (ALSN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and medium- and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles, and electrified propulsion systems worldwide. The company offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction off-highway vehicles and equipment; and wheeled and tracked defense vehicles. It provides its transmissions and electric propulsion solutions under the Allison Transmission brand name; and remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name. The company also sells branded replacement parts, support equipment, aluminum die cast components, and other products necessary to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its solutions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government. The company was formerly known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Allison reported 2025 revenue down 7% with margin expansion, completed the Dana Off-Highway acquisition, announced a $120 million run-rate synergy plan, and issued 2026 guidance with two-segment reporting and a target of ~25% adjusted EBITDA margin at midpoint.
⭐ Key Highlights
✔Positive Signals
- Defense end market revenue increased 26% to $267 million for 2025, contributing to a diversified growth mix.
- Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 140 basis points in 2025 despite revenue decline.
- Record fourth-quarter North America On-Highway revenue and ongoing pricing power (LTA-driven pricing ahead of inflation).
- Significant capital returns to shareholders (share repurchases of $328 million) and increased dividend.
- Clear multi-year synergy plan of $120 million annual run rate from the acquisition.
✖Negative Signals
- 2025 net sales declined 7% year over year, indicating persistent macro weakness.
- Acquisition-related expenses (~$26 million) and an impairment charge ($29 million) reduced quarterly net income.
- Tariff-related headwinds expected to remain as a drag on margins year over year.
- No meaningful near-term recovery assumed for North America Class 8 On-Highway; end-market demand remains soft.
- Guidance currently excludes embedded 2026 synergies and assumes ongoing integration risks and costs.
📊Financial Results
- Q4 2025 net sales: $737 million, down 7% YoY.
- Q4 2025 net income: $99 million, down from $175 million YoY; adjusted net income excluding impairment and acquisition costs: $141 million.
- Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin: 36%, up over 200 basis points YoY.
- Q4 2025 operating cash flow: $243 million; adjusted free cash flow: $169 million.
- Full-year 2025: revenue down 7%; adjusted EBITDA margin 37.5%.
🔮Future Guidance
- 2026 consolidated net sales guidance: $5.575–$5.925 billion (Transmission $3.025–$3.175b; Off-Highway $2.550–$2.750b).
- 2026 consolidated net income guidance: $600–$750 million, excluding purchase price accounting effects; includes about $70 million of onetime separation-related expenses.
- 2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance: $1.365–$1.515 billion (midpoint implying ~25% margin).
- 2026 cash flow guidance: operating cash flow $970–$1,100 million; capex $295–$315 million (including ~$45 million onetime separation/integration capex); adjusted free cash flow $655–$805 million.
- No embedded 2026 synergies in the guide; management expects run-rate synergies of about $120 million to be realized over the next few years.
💡Interesting Insights
- The company will begin two-segment reporting (Allison Transmission and Allison Off-Highway) starting Q1 2026, with a separate Allison Group for shared costs, signaling a more granular view of performance post-acquisition.
Detailed Analysis
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